Here are the latest Measure J results, posted online by the Los Angeles Country Registrar a few minutes ago. The percentage of ‘yes’ votes for Measure J jumped from 65.88 percent after the last update on Wednesday to 66.02 percent today.
It’s still extremely unlikely that Measure J will muster the number of votes to pass. But it’s certainly fascinating to watch how close J came to the two thirds (66.67 percent) it needed to be approved. In terms of raw votes, it looks like Measure J is about 16,500 votes shy of passage.
The Registrar told Metro that it was planning on counting about 50,000 votes today and the final 25,000 on Sunday. So the final ‘yes’ votes may go up again.
As for the issue of turnout, a total of 3,001,783 votes were cast in the Measure R election in Nov. 2008 when Barack Obama was first running for president. It looks like roughly 2,858,755 will have cast ballots for Measure J this time around — in other words, about 143,000 fewer. Was that a factor in J’s defeat? I think so — I believe many people who came out to vote for Obama in 2008 were also likely to vote for expanding Los Angeles County’s transit system.
Overall, statistics from the Registrar show a turnout of 69.69 percent for this past election compared to 81.92 percent in Nov. 2008.
Another interesting twist: a similar sales tax extension in Alameda County to help fund transit failed with 66.53 percent of the vote. The Alameda County Transportation Commission has asked for a recount, hoping to recover the 400 votes needed for passage.